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Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Orfeini T.
55' Event
Bonseri M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caldiero Terme
35%
Draws
32%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Caldiero Terme haven't matched AC Leon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caldiero Terme's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 20%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme AC Leon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Caldiero Terme
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Orfeini T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 85 / 100
AC Leon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caldiero Terme scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

AC Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caldiero Terme stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS AC Leon
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
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AC Leon

(Away)
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 5 5 0 0 7:1 15
2 Chievo 5 4 0 1 9:6 12
3 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Brusaporto 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
5 Virtus Verona 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
6 Piacenza 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
7 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
8 Pro Palazzolo 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
9 AC Leon 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
11 Caldiero Terme 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Villa Valle 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
13 Real Calepina 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
14 Scanzorosciate 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
15 Club Milano 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 5 0 3 2 8:11 3
17 Tritium 5 0 2 3 7:10 2
18 Fiorenzuola 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)