Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Paris M.
55' Event
Zerbato L.
74' Event
Selvatico S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Caldiero Terme and Brusaporto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Caldiero Terme
30%
Draws
35%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caldiero Terme are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 17%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Brusaporto
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Caldiero Terme
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Paris M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selvatico S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 84 / 100
Brusaporto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brusaporto conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Caldiero Terme stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS Brusaporto
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2
Varesina
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
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Brusaporto

(Away)
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)