Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldiero Terme vs Legnano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Staffa G. M.
31' Event
Vuskovic M.
37' Event
Fasan N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Caldiero Terme and Legnano finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caldiero Terme
35%
Draws
37%
Legnano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Caldiero Terme carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
Legnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Legnano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Legnano
3:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Caldiero Terme
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arma R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Staffa G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vuskovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 41 / 100
Legnano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Legnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Legnano conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Caldiero Terme stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

Legnano

(Away)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)