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Caldiero Terme vs Nibbiano & Valtidone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Castelli M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Caldiero Terme and Nibbiano & Valtidone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Caldiero Terme
20%
Draws
42%
Nibbiano & Valtidone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nibbiano & Valtidone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nibbiano & Valtidone haven't matched Caldiero Terme's recent run of results.
  • Caldiero Terme are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 20%
Nibbiano & Valtidone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Nibbiano & Valtidone
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 0
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Nibbiano & Valtidone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Castelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nibbiano & Valtidone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 42 / 100
Nibbiano & Valtidone 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Nibbiano & Valtidone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Caldiero Terme stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nibbiano & Valtidone has conceded goals in 33% of their last 6 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS Nibbiano & Valtidone
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

Nibbiano & Valtidone

(Away)
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1
Scanzorosciate
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)