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Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caledonian Braves play Newton Stewart in the Scottish Cup 2022/2023. Caledonian Braves are favorites here. Recently, Caledonian Braves averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Newton Stewart averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, Caledonian Braves won 1, Newton Stewart won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2022 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Caledonian Braves and 1.25 for Newton Stewart. This points to a Caledonian Braves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Caledonian Braves
19%
Draws
12%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Caledonian Braves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caledonian Braves picked up more points recently compared to Newton Stewart.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Caledonian Braves Clean Sheet 19%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caledonian Braves Newton Stewart
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 17 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.48 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Scottish Cup
Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caledonian Braves 66 / 100
Newton Stewart 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caledonian Braves Newton Stewart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caledonian Braves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Caledonian Braves & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caledonian Braves attacking → ← attacking Newton Stewart

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caledonian Braves scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Newton Stewart let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Caledonian Braves went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Newton Stewart lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 6
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00