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Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Cappadona L.
33' Event
Whitaker H.
46'
Sub
Johnson K. In: Thurton S.
Out: Johnson K.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Calgary Wild FC W and Montreal Roses FC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Calgary Wild FC W
35%
Draws
30%
Montreal Roses FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montreal Roses FC W come out ahead of Calgary Wild FC W on wins alone.
  • Calgary Wild FC W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calgary Wild FC W Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.09 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:1
May 16, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappadona L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whitaker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calgary Wild FC W 40 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calgary Wild FC W Montreal Roses FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Calgary Wild FC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Calgary Wild FC W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Calgary Wild FC W VS Montreal Roses FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Calgary Wild FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
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Montreal Roses FC W

(Away)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)