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Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NSL Women McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lamontagne A.
Assist: Pante M.
42'
Dougherty M.
47' Event
Otto T.
Assist: Dougherty M.

AI Match Summary

Calgary Wild FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calgary Wild FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Calgary Wild FC W
30%
Draws
23%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calgary Wild FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vancouver Rise FC W lately — more wins on the board than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calgary Wild FC W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.09 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
3:1
Aug 29, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:2
Aug 8, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:3
Jul 11, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Otto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dougherty M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamontagne A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calgary Wild FC W 29 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calgary Wild FC W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calgary Wild FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vancouver Rise FC W conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Calgary Wild FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Vancouver Rise FC W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calgary Wild FC W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Calgary Wild FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)