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Calvary vs Amus College FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League Midigo P/S Play Ground, Yumbe
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calvary host Amus College FC in the Big League. This one's hard to separate. Amus College FC have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Calvary have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.52. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 1.50) point toward Amus College FC. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Calvary
25%
Draws
35%
Amus College FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Calvary have won more games recently than Amus College FC.
  • Calvary are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Calvary Clean Sheet 16%
Amus College FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvary Amus College FC
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 16 0
Goals Scored 0.52 3
Goals Conceded 1.24 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvary 36 / 100
Amus College FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvary Amus College FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Calvary stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Calvary found the back of the net in 34% of recent matches (29 games).

Amus College FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 0% of 1 matches.

Scoring Trends

Calvary VS Amus College FC
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvary

(Home)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

Amus College FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Amus College FC
3 : 0
Buwambo United

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)