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Calvi Noale vs Chions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Peron F.
76' Event
Perissinotto M.
80' Event
Valenta E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Calvi Noale and Chions finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Calvi Noale
30%
Draws
23%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Calvi Noale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Calvi Noale's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%
Chions Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Chions
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Calvi Noale
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Chions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Peron F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perissinotto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 50 / 100
Chions 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Calvi Noale scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Calvi Noale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 8

Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)