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Calvi Noale vs Cjarlins Muzane Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ejesi R.
37' Event
Vranic A.
70' Event
Chiesurin A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Calvi Noale and Cjarlins Muzane finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Calvi Noale
20%
Draws
56%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calvi Noale come out ahead of Cjarlins Muzane on wins alone.
  • Cjarlins Muzane are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 16%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Cjarlins Muzane
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Calvi Noale
3:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Cjarlins Muzane
0:3
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Calvi Noale
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Calvi Noale
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejesi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vranic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Maniero L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 15 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Cjarlins Muzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cjarlins Muzane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Cjarlins Muzane conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Calvi Noale stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Calvi Noale's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS Cjarlins Muzane
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
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Cjarlins Muzane

(Away)
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
06 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 5
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)