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Calvi Noale vs Luparense FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Antoniazzi M.

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Calvi Noale
6%
Draws
4%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Calvi Noale have won more games recently than Luparense FC.
  • Win probability leans Calvi Noale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Luparense FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Luparense FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Luparense FC
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale
2:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Luparense FC
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale
1:1
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniazzi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 95 / 100
Luparense FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calvi Noale went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Luparense FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Calvi Noale's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS Luparense FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
03 Apr
Este
0 : 2
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

Luparense FC

(Away)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)