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Calvi Noale vs San Luigi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Abdulai N.
85' Event
Caramelli L.

AI Match Summary

San Luigi in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luigi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Calvi Noale
30%
Draws
12%
San Luigi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calvi Noale lately — more wins on the board than San Luigi.
  • Win probability leans Calvi Noale's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale San Luigi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs San Luigi
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs Calvi Noale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

San Luigi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulai N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caramelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 77 / 100
San Luigi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale San Luigi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luigi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Calvi Noale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: San Luigi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS San Luigi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
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San Luigi

(Away)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)