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Camacari vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Camacari play EC Ypiranga in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Camacari averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. EC Ypiranga averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Camacari won 0, EC Ypiranga won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2013 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Camacari and 3.00 for EC Ypiranga. This points to a EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Camacari
16%
Draws
54%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Camacari picked up more points recently compared to EC Ypiranga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 3.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacari EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Camacari
4:0
May 1, 2013 Baiano 2
Camacari vs EC Ypiranga
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacari 29 / 100
EC Ypiranga 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacari EC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick EC Ypiranga & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Camacari attacking → ← attacking EC Ypiranga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacari scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

EC Ypiranga let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Camacari went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

EC Ypiranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 37
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
4.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145