Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Camacari vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Baiano 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Camacari
15%
Draws
85%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Camacari haven't matched Serrano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Serrano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%
Serrano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacari Serrano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Baiano
Camacari vs Serrano
1:1
Feb 22, 2012 Baiano
Serrano vs Camacari
2:2
Apr 3, 2011 Baiano
Camacari vs Serrano
1:0
Mar 26, 2011 Baiano
Serrano vs Camacari
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacari 10 / 100
Serrano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacari Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serrano conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Camacari scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Serrano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Camacari VS Serrano
0.63 Goals Scored 0.83
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 67%
100% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacari

(Home)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
11 Jun
SSA
8 : 0
Camacari
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 Vitoria 22 12 7 3 53:17 43
3 Feirense 22 11 6 5 37:25 39
4 Bahia de Feira 22 10 2 10 34:30 32
5 Vitoria da Conquista 22 9 5 8 28:26 32
6 Alagoinhas 22 7 10 5 31:24 31
7 Juazeiro 22 6 7 9 25:44 25
8 Juazeirense 22 6 6 10 21:35 24
9 Serrano 22 4 11 7 22:30 23
10 Fluminense de Feira 22 5 8 9 21:36 23
11 Camacari 22 5 7 10 26:39 22
12 Itabuna 22 2 5 15 20:45 11
Promotion - Campeonato Baiano 2012 (Play Offs)