Sport Picks

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Camacariense U20 vs Bahia U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Camacariense U20 play Bahia U20 in the Baiano U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Camacariense U20 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Bahia U20 averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Camacariense U20 won 0, Bahia U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Camacariense U20 and 1.25 for Bahia U20. This points to a Bahia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Camacariense U20
23%
Draws
45%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Camacariense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Bahia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Camacariense U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacariense U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Camacariense U20
7:0
Apr 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Camacariense U20 vs Bahia U20
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacariense U20 33 / 100
Bahia U20 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacariense U20 Bahia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bahia U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Camacariense U20 attacking → ← attacking Bahia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacariense U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bahia U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Camacariense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bahia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 57
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88