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Camacha vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Fati V.

AI Match Summary

Camacha in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Camacha
30%
Draws
33%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Florgrade have won more games recently than Camacha.
  • Camacha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Camacha Clean Sheet 19%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Florgrade
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Florgrade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Fati V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Florgrade Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 36 / 100
Florgrade 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Camacha remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Camacha scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Florgrade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Florgrade
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
Page 1 of 7

Florgrade

(Away)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)