Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Camacha vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Leca H.
51' Event
Aguilar F.
54' Event
Muhammad I.

AI Match Summary

Camacha in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Camacha
33%
Draws
40%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Machico lately — more wins on the board than Camacha.
  • Machico are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Camacha Clean Sheet 20%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Machico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Machico
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Camacha
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Camacha
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Machico
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Machico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fati V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 28 / 100
Machico 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacha's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Machico let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Machico
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
18 Apr
Camacha
1 : 2
Celoricense
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
29 Mar
Camacha
1 : 3
GD Braganca
22 Mar
Camacha
2 : 1
Machico
Page 1 of 6

Machico

(Away)
11 Jul
Nacional
1 : 2
Machico
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Camacha
2 : 1
Machico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)