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Camaiore Calcio vs Ghiviborgo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fischer F.
21' Event
Nieri M.
23' Event
Magazzu L.

AI Match Summary

Camaiore Calcio host Ghiviborgo in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Camaiore Calcio have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Ghiviborgo's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Camaiore Calcio have won 0 to Ghiviborgo's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Ghiviborgo. Ghiviborgo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Camaiore Calcio
39%
Draws
31%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ghiviborgo demonstrates higher offensive output (1.38 avg goals) than Camaiore Calcio (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camaiore Calcio Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Ghiviborgo
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Camaiore Calcio
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieri M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magazzu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ghiviborgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mariotti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camaiore Calcio 41 / 100
Ghiviborgo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camaiore Calcio Ghiviborgo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camaiore Calcio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ghiviborgo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Camaiore Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ghiviborgo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camaiore Calcio VS Ghiviborgo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622