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Cambodia U22 vs Timor-Leste U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Chou S.
45' Event
Chou S.
73' Event
Sor R.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2023 game between Cambodia U22 and Timor-Leste U22 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambodia U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cambodia U22
15%
Draws
39%
Timor-Leste U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambodia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambodia U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cambodia U22 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Cambodia U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Timor-Leste U22 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia U22 Timor-Leste U22
Matches Played 17 14
Wins 5 4
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.12 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia U22 vs Timor-Leste U22
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chou S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sor R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia U22 95 / 100
Timor-Leste U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia U22 Timor-Leste U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambodia U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Timor-Leste U22 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Solid form: Cambodia U22 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Timor-Leste U22 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia U22 VS Timor-Leste U22
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia U22

(Home)
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
07 May
Myanmar U22
2 : 0
Cambodia U22
02 May
Philippines U22
1 : 1
Cambodia U22
29 Apr
Cambodia U22
4 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
26 Mar
Singapore U22
1 : 2
Cambodia U22
Page 1 of 4

Timor-Leste U22

(Away)
06 Dec
Singapore U22
1 : 3
Timor-Leste U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
07 May
Timor-Leste U22
0 : 3
Indonesia U22
04 May
Timor-Leste U22
3 : 0
Philippines U22
02 May
Myanmar U22
1 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U22 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Myanmar U22 4 3 0 1 4:5 9
3 Cambodia U22 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
4 Timor-Leste U22 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
5 Philippines U22 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Vietnam U22 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Malaysia U22 4 2 0 2 13:5 6
4 Laos U22 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Singapore U22 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)