Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambodia vs Guam

Asia Asia

Asian Cup 2023 Khalifa Sports City Stadium, Isa Town
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mendiola D.
51' Event
Sos S.
55' Event
Keo S.

AI Match Summary

Cambodia in this Asian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
42%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambodia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Guam haven't matched Cambodia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cambodia taking it.
  • Cambodia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cambodia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Cambodia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Guam
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.44 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2021 Asian Cup
Cambodia vs Guam
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 Asian Cup
Guam vs Cambodia
0:1
Nov 19, 2013 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Guam
0:2
Apr 6, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Cambodia vs Guam
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sos S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendiola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 40 / 100
Guam 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guam conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Cambodia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Guam registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Guam
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
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Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guam 1
Cambodia 3
Indonesia 5
Chinese Taipei 1