Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambodia vs Sri Lanka

Asia Asia

Asian Cup National Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
Tue, Sep 10, 2024
2 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Mizuno H.
38' Event
Kelaart O.
46'
Sub
Mizuno H. In: Soeuy V.
Out: Mizuno H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
51%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Lanka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sri Lanka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sri Lanka, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 19%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Sri Lanka
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.3 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Asian Cup
Cambodia vs Sri Lanka
2:3
Sep 5, 2024 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Cambodia
0:0
Oct 9, 2016 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Sri Lanka
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nhean S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelaart O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kammerknecht C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 36 / 100
Sri Lanka 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambodia scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sri Lanka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cambodia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Sri Lanka
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sri Lanka 3
Cambodia 2
Timor-Leste 4
Mongolia 3
Brunei 4
Macau 0