Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambodia vs Timor-Leste

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 National Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Nieto A.
22' Event
Pedro J.
42' Event
Sor R.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship 2024 game between Cambodia and Timor-Leste finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambodia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
28%
Timor-Leste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambodia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambodia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cambodia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cambodia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 68%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Timor-Leste
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.45 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
3:0
Dec 17, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:1
Jun 2, 2022 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:1
Oct 12, 2018 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:2
Oct 21, 2016 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sor R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hav S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 95 / 100
Timor-Leste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Timor-Leste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambodia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cambodia scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Timor-Leste let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Timor-Leste's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Timor-Leste
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
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Timor-Leste

(Away)
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)