Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Camboriu vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Eduardo
40'
Gabriel Bessan
46'
Sub
Willean Lepo In: Diego Goncalves
Out: Willean Lepo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Camboriu
30%
Draws
29%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Camboriu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Camboriu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Criciuma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 68%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camboriu Criciuma
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Camboriu
4:2
Mar 4, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Catarinense
Camboriu vs Criciuma
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Camboriu vs Criciuma
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Criciuma vs Camboriu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camboriu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes M. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Criciuma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camboriu 50 / 100
Criciuma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camboriu Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camboriu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Camboriu found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Camboriu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Criciuma
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Camboriu

(Home)
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2
Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0
Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0
Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0
Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Criciuma

(Away)
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Criciuma
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0
Goias
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0
Criciuma
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3