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Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Eason L.
86' Event
Allen J.

AI Match Summary

Cambrian United in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambrian United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cambrian United
20%
Draws
45%
Aberystwyth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth.
  • Aberystwyth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cambrian United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Aberystwyth
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Cambrian United
1:2
Aug 10, 2019 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
3:4
Sep 25, 2018 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
3:1
Sep 4, 2013 League Cup
Aberystwyth vs Cambrian United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Eason L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aberystwyth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 10 / 100
Aberystwyth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cambrian United scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Aberystwyth conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cambrian United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Aberystwyth
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Cambrian United
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Aberystwyth

(Away)
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)