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Cambrian United vs Ammanford Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier M&P Group 3G, Tonypandy
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Case J. M.
32'
John A.
42'
Eason L.

AI Match Summary

Ammanford Town in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cambrian United
15%
Draws
26%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Ammanford Town.
  • Model gives Cambrian United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 16%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Ammanford Town
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 22 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.12 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cambrian United vs Ammanford Town
0:1
Mar 24, 2026 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Cambrian United
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Ammanford Town
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Cambrian United
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Ammanford Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Case J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 36 / 100
Ammanford Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cambrian United scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Ammanford Town let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Cambrian United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Ammanford Town
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
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Ammanford Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)