Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Allen J.
45'
45'
Richards W.
54'
54'
Hulbert O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Barry Town have won more games recently than Cambrian United.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Barry Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Barry Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Barry Town have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 19 | 23 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Barry Town
0:3
Feb 18, 2023 Cymru South
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
4:2
Nov 18, 2022 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Barry Town
1:2
Mar 2, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Barry Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hulbert O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 30 / 100
Barry Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Barry Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cambrian United scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Barry Town has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.
Cambrian United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Barry Town
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Newport City
Page 1 of 3
Barry Town
(Away) 18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
