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Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bateman C.
39'
Sage E.
46'
Sub
Smith C. In: Bevan R.
Out: Smith C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cambrian United
20%
Draws
29%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Cambrian United have won more games recently than Briton Ferry.
  • Win probability leans Briton Ferry's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Cambrian United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cambrian United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 13%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Briton Ferry
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry
1:1
Nov 4, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Briton Ferry vs Cambrian United
4:3
Feb 9, 2024 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Cambrian United
3:4
Sep 22, 2023 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Bateman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Briton Ferry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 11 / 100
Briton Ferry 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Briton Ferry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cambrian United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Briton Ferry
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2