Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Evans E.
32'
Rees L.
33' Event
Eason L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cambrian United host Cardiff Metropolitan University in the League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Cambrian United have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Cardiff Metropolitan University's 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Cardiff Metropolitan University slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.19) point toward Cambrian United. Cambrian United in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cambrian United
44%
Draws
20%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambrian United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cardiff Metropolitan University.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in League Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 20%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 26 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:1
Jul 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
3:0
Jan 19, 2019 League Cup
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
2:0
Jan 16, 2016 Division 1
Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:0
Oct 24, 2015 Division 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 36 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Cardiff Metropolitan University

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cambrian United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ruthin Town1
Penrhyncoch0
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Flint Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Holywell Town FC-
Holyhead0
Buckley4
TBD-
Newtown-
Guilsfield3
Mold Alexandra0
TBD-
Bala-
Llandudno FC-
TBD-
Gresford3
Brickfield Rangers0
Rhyl2
Caersws FC1
Denbigh3
Flint Mountain1
Treowen2
Cambrian United3
Cardiff U211
Ammanford Town0
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Pontypridd United1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Caerau Ely3
Trefelin4
TBD-
Penybont-
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
TBD-
Trethomas Bluebirds-
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Newport City2
Baglan Dragons0
Llantwit Major1
Afan Lido2
Swansea U214
Carmarthen Town1
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Ynyshir Albions4
Cardiff Draconians1
TBD-
Llanelli-
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town0
Connahs Q.9
TNS7
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Caernarfon3
Colwyn Bay0
Flint Town1
Holywell Town FC2
Buckley2
Newtown3
Guilsfield2
Bala3
Llandudno FC7
Gresford0
Rhyl2
Denbigh3
Cambrian United2
Cardiff U210
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Pontypridd United0
Trefelin1
Penybont6
Briton Ferry3
Trethomas Bluebirds0
Haverfordwest5
Newport City0
Afan Lido0
Swansea U215
Barry Town2
Aberystwyth1
Ynyshir Albions1
Llanelli4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q.1
TNS3
Caernarfon3
Holywell Town FC2
Newtown2
Bala1
Llandudno FC3
Denbigh1
Cambrian United2
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Penybont2
Briton Ferry3
Haverfordwest4
Swansea U211
Barry Town1
Llanelli0
Quarter-finals
TNS3
Caernarfon0
Newtown3
Llandudno FC6
Cambrian United1
Briton Ferry0
Haverfordwest0
Barry Town2
Semi-finals
TNS2
Llandudno FC1
Cambrian United0
Barry Town3
Final
TNS0
Barry Town2