Sport Picks
Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
Wales
League Cup 
Match Events
18'
18'
Evans E.
32'
32'
Rees L.
33'
33'
Eason L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Cambrian United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Cambrian United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cambrian United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Cardiff Metropolitan University |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
2:2
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:1
Jul 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
3:0
Jan 19, 2019 League Cup
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Cambrian United
2:0
Jan 16, 2016 Division 1
Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 30 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Cardiff Metropolitan University
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambrian United's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Cardiff Metropolitan University has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Cambrian United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Newport City
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University
(Away) 18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
07 Aug
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
