Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Woodford J.
75'
75'
Hillman T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff U21.
- Cardiff U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Cambrian United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 13%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambrian United | Cardiff U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Cardiff U21
2:0
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambrian United vs Cardiff U21
0:0
Jul 21, 2023 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Cardiff U21
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Woodford J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hillman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Cardiff U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambrian United 10 / 100
Cardiff U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambrian United Cardiff U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambrian United scored in 91% of their last 33 games.
Cardiff U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Cambrian United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambrian United VS Cardiff U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambrian United
(Home) 18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Newport City
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Cardiff U21
6 : 0 Peterborough U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1 Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3 Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5 Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1 Cardiff U21
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3 Cardiff U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5 Cardiff U21
01 Aug
Liverpool U21
3 : 4 Cardiff U21
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
