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Cambrian United vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier M&P Group 3G, Tonypandy
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Reed J.
37' Event
Eason L.
46'
Sub
Reed J. In: Winslade M.
Out: Reed J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Cambrian United and Holywell Town FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambrian United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cambrian United
15%
Draws
12%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambrian United come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
  • Cambrian United are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambrian United Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cambrian United vs Holywell Town FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Eason L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonsian F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambrian United 65 / 100
Holywell Town FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambrian United Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambrian United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambrian United's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Holywell Town FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Holywell Town FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambrian United VS Holywell Town FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambrian United

(Home)
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)