Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambridge Utd vs AFC Wimbledon

England England

League One Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Stockley J.
Assist: Yiadom A.
36'
Sub
Richards D. In: Nelson Z.
Out: Richards D.
46'
Sub
McConnell G. In: Lavery S.
Out: McConnell G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cambridge Utd
35%
Draws
31%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Cambridge Utd have won more games recently than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambridge Utd AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League One
Cambridge Utd vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Mar 26, 2022 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Cambridge Utd
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 League One
Cambridge Utd vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Jan 2, 2016 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs AFC Wimbledon
1:4
Aug 18, 2015 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Cambridge Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradshaw Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Stockley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 31 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambridge Utd AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambridge Utd has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cambridge Utd scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

AFC Wimbledon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS AFC Wimbledon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Reading
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 7 5 0 2 7:4 15
2 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
3 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
4 Plymouth 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
5 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
6 Huddersfield 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
7 Burton 8 3 3 2 13:12 12
8 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
9 Reading 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 7 3 1 3 13:9 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)