Sport Picks

England

FA Cup Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Cambridge Utd

2 - 3

Birmingham

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Wagner K.

42'

Furuhashi K.

63'

Sub

Brophy J. In: Kaikai S.

Out: Brophy J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Birmingham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Cambridge Utd

44%

Draws

20%

Birmingham

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Cambridge Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Cambridge Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Birmingham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Birmingham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 20%

Birmingham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	14
Draws	9	7
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup

Cambridge Utd vs Birmingham

2:3

May 3, 2025 League One

Cambridge Utd vs Birmingham

1:2

Feb 11, 2025 League One

Birmingham vs Cambridge Utd

4:0

Sep 5, 2020 EFL Cup

Birmingham vs Cambridge Utd

0:1

Aug 12, 2014 EFL Cup

Birmingham vs Cambridge Utd

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaikai S.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagner K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Furuhashi K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 36 / 100

Birmingham 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cambridge Utd Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambridge Utd's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Cambridge Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Birmingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Birmingham

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)

28 Jul

Cambridge Utd

0 : 0

Northampton

24 Jul

Preston

0 : 1

Cambridge Utd

14 Jul

Southend

1 : 2

Cambridge Utd

11 Jul

Cambridge City

1 : 3

Cambridge Utd

02 May

Crewe

0 : 0

Cambridge Utd

Page 1 of 6

Birmingham

(Away)

25 Jul

Crewe

1 : 2

Birmingham

22 Jul

Burton

0 : 1

Birmingham

15 Jul

Solihull Moors

0 : 3

Birmingham

10 Jul

Birmingham

3 : 1

Huddersfield

02 May

Portsmouth

1 : 1

Birmingham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Wrexham-

TBD-

Nottingham-

Ipswich-

TBD-

Blackpool1

Scunthorpe0

Reading2

Carlisle3

Hull City-

TBD-

Blackburn-

Charlton-

TBD-

Chelsea-

Port Vale5

Maldon & Tiptree1

Bromley1

Bristol Rovers2

Fleetwood Town2

Barnet1

Luton4

Forest Green3

Bristol City-

TBD-

Watford-

Colchester2

Milton Keynes Dons3

Oldham3

Northampton1

TBD-

Oxford Utd-

Everton-

TBD-

Sunderland-

Boreham Wood3

Crawley Town0

Newport3

Gillingham2

Brackley3

Notts County2

Burton6

St. Albans0

West Ham-

TBD-

QPR-

Slough Town2

Altrincham1

Macclesfield6

AFC Totton3

TBD-

Crystal Palace-

Sheffield Wed-

TBD-

Brentford-

Tranmere1

Stockport County3

Cambridge Utd3

Chester0

TBD-

Birmingham-

Derby-

TBD-

Leeds-

Norwich-

TBD-

AFC Wimbledon0

Gateshead2

Eastleigh0

Walsall3

Swansea-

TBD-

West Brom-

Tottenham-

TBD-

Aston Villa-

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

TBD-

Halifax0

Exeter2

Wycombe2

Plymouth0

Salford2

Lincoln City1

Tamworth0

Leyton Orient1

Rotherham1

Swindon2

Bolton2

Huddersfield1

Grimsby3

Ebbsfleet1

Wealdstone1

Southend0

Chelmsford4

Braintree1

Weston-super-Mare2

Aldershot1

Wolves-

TBD-

Sutton2

Telford1

South Shields1

Shrewsbury3

Liverpool-

TBD-

Peterborough1

Cardiff0

Barnsley3

York City2

Manchester United-

TBD-

Brighton-

Stoke City-

TBD-

Coventry-

Fulham-

TBD-

Middlesbrough-

Stevenage0

Chesterfield1

Crewe1

Doncaster2

TBD-

Southampton-

Cheltenham1

Bradford City0

Buxton2

Chatham1

TBD-

Leicester-

Burnley-

TBD-

Millwall-

Sheffield Utd-

TBD-

Gainsborough1

Accrington2

Mansfield3

Harrogate2

Portsmouth-

TBD-

Arsenal-

Preston-

TBD-

Wigan2

Hemel Hempstead1

Spennymoor0

Barrow2

1/64-finals

Wrexham-

TBD-

Nottingham-

Ipswich-

TBD-

Blackpool4

Carlisle1

Hull City-

TBD-

Blackburn-

Charlton-

TBD-

Chelsea-

Port Vale1

Bristol Rovers0

Fleetwood Town3

Luton2

Bristol City-

TBD-

Watford-

Milton Keynes Dons3

Oldham1

TBD-

Oxford Utd-

Everton-

TBD-

Sunderland-

Boreham Wood3

Newport0

Brackley1

Burton3

West Ham-

TBD-

QPR-

Slough Town1

Macclesfield3

TBD-

Crystal Palace-

Sheffield Wed-

TBD-

Brentford-

Stockport County0

Cambridge Utd1

TBD-

Birmingham-

Derby-

TBD-

Leeds-

Norwich-

TBD-

Gateshead0

Walsall2

Swansea-

TBD-

West Brom-

Tottenham-

TBD-

Aston Villa-

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

TBD-

Exeter4

Wycombe0

Salford4

Leyton Orient0

Swindon4

Bolton0

Grimsby4

Wealdstone0

Chelmsford0

Weston-super-Mare2

Wolves-

TBD-

Sutton1

Shrewsbury2

Liverpool-

TBD-

Peterborough0

Barnsley1

Manchester United-

TBD-

Brighton-

Stoke City-

TBD-

Coventry-

Fulham-

TBD-

Middlesbrough-

Chesterfield1

Doncaster2

TBD-

Southampton-

Cheltenham6

Buxton2

TBD-

Leicester-

Burnley-

TBD-

Millwall-

Sheffield Utd-

TBD-

Accrington2

Mansfield3

Portsmouth-

TBD-

Arsenal-

Preston-

TBD-

Wigan3

Barrow2

1/32-finals

Wrexham4

Nottingham3

Ipswich2

Blackpool1

Hull City1

Blackburn0

Charlton1

Chelsea5

Port Vale1

Fleetwood Town0

Bristol City5

Watford1

Milton Keynes Dons1

Oxford Utd2

Everton1

Sunderland2

Boreham Wood0

Burton5

West Ham2

QPR1

Macclesfield2

Crystal Palace1

Sheffield Wed0

Brentford2

Cambridge Utd2

Birmingham3

Derby1

Leeds3

Norwich5

Walsall1

Swansea2

West Brom3

Tottenham1

Aston Villa2

Newcastle Utd4

Bournemouth3

Manchester City10

Exeter1

Salford3

Swindon2

Grimsby3

Weston-super-Mare2

Wolves6

Shrewsbury1

Liverpool4

Barnsley1

Manchester United1

Brighton2

Stoke City1

Coventry0

Fulham3

Middlesbrough1

Doncaster2

Southampton3

Cheltenham0

Leicester2

Burnley5

Millwall1

Sheffield Utd3

Mansfield4

Portsmouth1

Arsenal4

Preston0

Wigan1

1/16-finals

Wrexham1

Ipswich0

Hull City0

Chelsea4

Port Vale1

Bristol City0

Oxford Utd0

Sunderland1

Burton0

West Ham1

Macclesfield0

Brentford1

Birmingham1

Leeds2

Norwich3

West Brom1

Aston Villa1

Newcastle Utd3

Manchester City2

Salford0

Grimsby0

Wolves1

Liverpool3

Brighton0

Stoke City1

Fulham2

Southampton2

Leicester1

Burnley1

Mansfield2

Arsenal4

Wigan0

1/8-finals

Wrexham2

Chelsea4

Port Vale1

Sunderland0

West Ham3

Brentford2

Leeds3

Norwich0

Newcastle Utd1

Manchester City3

Wolves1

Liverpool3

Fulham0

Southampton1

Mansfield1

Arsenal2

Quarter-finals

Chelsea7

Port Vale0

West Ham2

Leeds3

Manchester City4

Liverpool0

Southampton2

Arsenal1

Semi-finals

Chelsea1

Leeds0

Manchester City2

Southampton1

Final

Chelsea0

Manchester City1

Cambridge Utd vs Birmingham

England

Cambridge Utd

Birmingham

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Cambridge Utd Compare

Birmingham Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

Birmingham

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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