Sport Picks

Cambridge Utd vs Brighton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Brighton U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cambridge Utd at 1.52 goals for, 0.79 against; Brighton U21 at 1.76 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Cambridge Utd slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Cambridge Utd to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Cambridge Utd

35%

Draws

27%

Brighton U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Brighton U21 lately — more wins on the board than Cambridge Utd.
38% — that's where the model lands on Cambridge Utd taking it.
Brighton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Cambridge Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 16%

Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cambridge Utd	Brighton U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	14
Draws	12	6
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.52	1.76
Goals Conceded	0.79	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 EFL Trophy

Cambridge Utd vs Brighton U21

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 66 / 100

Brighton U21 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cambridge Utd Brighton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambridge Utd has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cambridge Utd found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brighton U21 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Brighton U21

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)

06 Oct

Cambridge Utd

2 : 1

Northampton

26 Sept

Cambridge Utd

1 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

22 Sept

Gillingham

1 : 4

Cambridge Utd

19 Sept

Oxford Utd

1 : 1

Cambridge Utd

12 Sept

Cambridge Utd

2 : 1

Reading

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Brighton U21

(Away)

19 Sept

Liverpool U21

5 : 1

Brighton U21

16 Sept

Brighton U21

2 : 1

PSG U21

11 Sept

Brighton U21

3 : 0

Leicester U21

04 Sept

West Ham U21

1 : 1

Brighton U21

31 Aug

Brighton U21

2 : 2

Arsenal U21

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