Sport Picks
Cambridge Utd vs Millwall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Abbey Stadium, Cambridge 
Match Events
9'
9'
Cooper J.
Assist: Lovelace Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Ahadme G. In: Appere L.
Out: Ahadme G.
50'
50'
Bauer P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cambridge Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Cambridge Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Cambridge Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Cambridge Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Millwall, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Millwall have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambridge Utd | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Cambridge Utd vs Millwall
0:1
Aug 2, 2022 EFL Cup
Cambridge Utd vs Millwall
1:0
Aug 24, 2021 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Cambridge Utd
3:1
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Cambridge Utd vs Millwall
0:2
Jan 14, 2003 FA Cup
Millwall vs Cambridge Utd
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambridge Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambridge Utd 59 / 100
Millwall 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambridge Utd Millwall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Cambridge Utd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Cambridge Utd scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Cambridge Utd VS Millwall
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambridge Utd
(Home) 20 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 2 Wycombe
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
10 Oct
Cambridge Utd
1 : 0 Blackpool
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 2 Wycombe
10 Oct
Cambridge Utd
1 : 0 Blackpool
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Reading
Page 1 of 3
Millwall
(Away) 17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2 Lincoln City
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1 Swansea
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1 Millwall
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1 Millwall
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1 Millwall
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1 Millwall
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1 Millwall
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
