Sport Picks

Cambridge Utd vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Cambridge Utd

2 - 1

Northampton

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Mpanzu P.

Assist: Heath I.

46'

Sub

Hoddle G. In: Moxon O.

Out: Hoddle G.

46'

Sub

Donacien J. In: Guthrie J.

Out: Donacien J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Cambridge Utd

30%

Draws

19%

Northampton

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Cambridge Utd come out ahead of Northampton on wins alone.
Cambridge Utd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Cambridge Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cambridge Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 20%

Northampton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cambridge Utd	Northampton
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	13	3
Draws	12	5
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	1.52	0.74
Goals Conceded	0.79	1.74
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Cambridge Utd vs Northampton

2:1

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Cambridge Utd vs Northampton

0:0

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly

Cambridge Utd vs Northampton

3:0

Mar 29, 2025 League One

Cambridge Utd vs Northampton

1:1

Nov 23, 2024 League One

Northampton vs Cambridge Utd

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpanzu P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Warhurst M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 85 / 100

Northampton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cambridge Utd Northampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northampton has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Cambridge Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cambridge Utd found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Northampton

1.63 Goals Scored 0.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)

06 Oct

Cambridge Utd

2 : 1

Northampton

26 Sept

Cambridge Utd

1 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

22 Sept

Gillingham

1 : 4

Cambridge Utd

19 Sept

Oxford Utd

1 : 1

Cambridge Utd

12 Sept

Cambridge Utd

2 : 1

Reading

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Northampton

(Away)

06 Oct

Cambridge Utd

2 : 1

Northampton

19 Sept

Northampton

0 : 1

Rotherham

12 Sept

Shrewsbury

2 : 0

Northampton

05 Sept

Northampton

1 : 0

Newport

01 Sept

Northampton

1 : 1

Crawley Town

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