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Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cambridge Utd host Plymouth in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Plymouth have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Cambridge Utd have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Cambridge Utd have won 1 to Plymouth's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2023, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.81) point toward Plymouth. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cambridge Utd
20%
Draws
42%
Plymouth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth lately — more wins on the board than Cambridge Utd.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambridge Utd Plymouth
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 11 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.39 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 League One
Plymouth vs Cambridge Utd
3:1
Dec 10, 2022 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth
0:0
Feb 22, 2022 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth
2:0
Aug 17, 2021 League One
Plymouth vs Cambridge Utd
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 League Two
Plymouth vs Cambridge Utd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 30 / 100
Plymouth 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambridge Utd Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Cambridge Utd stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cambridge Utd found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Plymouth has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Plymouth
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)
10 Oct
Cambridge Utd
1 : 0
Blackpool
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
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Plymouth

(Away)
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2
Plymouth
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Oxford Utd 8 4 3 1 16:9 15
8 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
12 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
13 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
14 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)