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Stadium Background

Cambridge Utd vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Watts K.
Assist: Jobe M.
34' Event
Appere L.
46'
Sub
Llyton C. In: Harris A.
Out: Llyton C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Cambridge Utd and Wigan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambridge Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cambridge Utd
20%
Draws
28%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambridge Utd come out ahead of Wigan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cambridge Utd's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambridge Utd Wigan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Wigan
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 FA Cup
Cambridge Utd vs Wigan
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Wigan
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Wigan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Watts K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appere L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkins S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higgins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambridge Utd 68 / 100
Wigan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambridge Utd Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambridge Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cambridge Utd scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Wigan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cambridge Utd VS Wigan
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambridge Utd

(Home)
20 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 2
Wycombe
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
10 Oct
Cambridge Utd
1 : 0
Blackpool
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1
Wigan
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0
Reading
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
2 Huddersfield 11 6 4 1 22:10 22
3 Bradford City 11 6 3 2 10:5 21
4 Cambridge Utd 11 5 5 1 18:14 20
5 Plymouth 12 6 1 5 18:17 19
6 Reading 11 5 3 3 23:12 18
7 Sheffield Wed 10 5 3 2 20:10 18
8 Oxford Utd 9 5 3 1 18:10 18
9 Stevenage 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
10 Leicester 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
11 Mansfield 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
12 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 15:12 14
13 Luton 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
14 Burton 12 3 5 4 16:18 14
15 Wycombe 11 3 5 3 18:22 14
16 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 3 5 7:18 12
17 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 15:16 11
18 Notts County 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
19 Doncaster 10 2 3 5 10:13 9
20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 1 6 3 11:18 9
21 Peterborough 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
22 Barnsley 10 2 2 6 10:19 8
23 Bromley 10 2 2 6 9:25 8
24 Wigan 10 2 1 7 7:15 7
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)