Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Cambuur at 1.48 goals for, 1.86 against; AZ Alkmaar at 2.12 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Cambuur have won 0 to AZ Alkmaar's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2023, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.69, favoring AZ Alkmaar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cambuur
30%
Draws
47%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Cambuur.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AZ Alkmaar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur
2:1
Aug 28, 2022 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur
0:0
Oct 3, 2021 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
1:3
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambuur 30 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambuur AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cambuur scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Cambuur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambuur VS AZ Alkmaar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambuur

(Home)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
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AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)