Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaoundé

Cameroon

4 - 1

Kenya

Our Tip

Match Events

Aboubakar V.

(Penalty)

19'

Sub

Wooh C. In: Castelletto J.

Out: Wooh C.

30'

Nondi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Cameroon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Cameroon

15%

Draws

37%

Kenya

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameroon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Kenya haven't matched Cameroon's recent run of results.
Model gives Kenya a 37% chance of winning this.
Cameroon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cameroon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Cameroon Clean Sheet 28%

Kenya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cameroon	Kenya
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	11
Draws	8	8
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.33	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya vs Cameroon

0:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Kenya

4:1

Jun 12, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya vs Cameroon

0:0

Jun 4, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Kenya

0:0

Oct 29, 2016 Friendly International

Kenya vs Cameroon

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cameroon Compare

Top Goalscorer Hongla M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbeumo B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Kenya Compare

Top Goalscorer Olunga M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.63

Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cameroon 30 / 100

Kenya 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cameroon Kenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameroon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kenya let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Cameroon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cameroon VS Kenya

0.75 Goals Scored 0.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cameroon

(Home)

31 Mar

China

0 : 2

Cameroon

27 Mar

Australia

1 : 0

Cameroon

09 Jan

Cameroon

0 : 2

Morocco

04 Jan

South Africa

1 : 2

Cameroon

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

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Kenya

(Away)

07 Jun

Kenya

4 : 0

Lesotho

04 Jun

Lesotho

1 : 1

Kenya

30 Mar

Grenada

0 : 3

Kenya

27 Mar

Kenya

1 : 2

Estonia

18 Nov

Senegal

8 : 0

Kenya

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