Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campbelltown City vs Croydon

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Steve Woodcock Sports Centre, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Styles E.
63' Event
Pasia J.
85' Event
Mori J.

AI Match Summary

Croydon in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croydon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Campbelltown City
30%
Draws
12%
Croydon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campbelltown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Croydon have won more games recently than Campbelltown City.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Campbelltown City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campbelltown City Croydon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Campbelltown City
2:2
May 1, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Croydon
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Croydon
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Campbelltown City
5:3
Jun 1, 2024 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Croydon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campbelltown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mori J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Croydon Compare

Top Goalscorer Styles E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campbelltown City 74 / 100
Croydon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campbelltown City Croydon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campbelltown City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campbelltown City scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Croydon has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Campbelltown City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campbelltown City VS Croydon
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Campbelltown City

(Home)
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3
Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4
Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6

Croydon

(Away)
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)