Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campinense vs Nacional PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rogerio
18'
Guto
21'
Henrique E.

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Campinense and Nacional PB finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Campinense
35%
Draws
30%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campinense come out ahead of Nacional PB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Campinense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Campinense Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campinense Nacional PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Nacional PB
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Paraibano
Campinense vs Nacional PB
2:1
Feb 29, 2024 Paraibano
Campinense vs Nacional PB
1:0
Jun 28, 2023 Serie D
Nacional PB vs Campinense
2:1
Jun 1, 2023 Serie D
Campinense vs Nacional PB
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer De Araujo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abnner Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campinense 42 / 100
Nacional PB 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campinense Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Campinense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Campinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campinense VS Nacional PB
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campinense

(Home)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)