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Campinense vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Campinense Logo

Campinense

1 - 1
FT
Sousa Logo

Sousa

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Patrik
39'
Henrique E.
43'
Marcelo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Campinense and Sousa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Campinense
20%
Draws
29%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Campinense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Campinense Clean Sheet 68%
Sousa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campinense Sousa
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Sousa
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
0:1
Feb 18, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Sousa
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrik
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Bambu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campinense 68 / 100
Sousa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campinense Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campinense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sousa has conceded goals in 65% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Campinense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campinense VS Sousa
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campinense

(Home)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)