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Campo Grande vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

6' Event
69' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Campo Grande
20%
Draws
44%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Campo Grande have won more games recently than Niteroiense.
  • Niteroiense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 18%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campo Grande Niteroiense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Carioca B1
Campo Grande vs Niteroiense
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Carioca B2
Niteroiense vs Campo Grande
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campo Grande 23 / 100
Niteroiense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campo Grande Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Grande's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Niteroiense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Campo Grande stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campo Grande VS Niteroiense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Campo Grande

(Home)
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

Niteroiense

(Away)
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)