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Stadium Background

Campobasso vs Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Celesia C.
52'
Di Livio L.
55'
Sub
Rizzo Pinna A. In: Corazza S.
Out: Rizzo Pinna A.

AI Match Summary

Campobasso in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Campobasso
15%
Draws
39%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Campobasso haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Campobasso a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Ascoli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ascoli
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Campobasso
0:0
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ascoli
2:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Campobasso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Gala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 40 / 100
Ascoli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campobasso scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ascoli conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Campobasso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ascoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Ascoli
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Cavese
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1
Pineto
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Ascoli

(Away)
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)