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Campobasso vs Cavese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Cristallo C.
57' Event
Isaac Prado

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Campobasso
35%
Draws
25%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Campobasso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Campobasso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavese, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Campobasso have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 68%
Cavese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Cavese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Campobasso vs Cavese
2:0
Jun 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Campobasso vs Cavese
2:3
Jun 1, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cavese vs Campobasso
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristallo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaac Prado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cavese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 41 / 100
Cavese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Campobasso's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cavese conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Campobasso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Cavese
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

Cavese

(Away)
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -