Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Campobasso vs Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Bonassi L.
17' Event
Malagrida L.
34' Event
Bonassi L.

AI Match Summary

Campobasso host Livorno in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Campobasso have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Livorno's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Campobasso have won 0 to Livorno's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.31 - 0.69) back Campobasso to edge this. Campobasso in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Campobasso
40%
Draws
29%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Campobasso has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Livorno.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C - Group B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 20%
Livorno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Livorno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Livorno
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Campobasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunet J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Malagrida L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonassi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 32 / 100
Livorno 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Livorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campobasso scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Livorno let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Campobasso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Livorno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Livorno
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00