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Campobasso vs Perugia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Campobasso host Perugia in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Campobasso have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Perugia's 1.04 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Campobasso have won 3 to Perugia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Campobasso to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Campobasso
30%
Draws
35%
Perugia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Campobasso have won more games recently than Perugia.
  • Model gives Campobasso a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 19%
Perugia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Perugia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
2:1
Feb 5, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Perugia vs Campobasso
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 49 / 100
Perugia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Perugia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campobasso found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Perugia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Campobasso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Perugia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
11 Oct
Ravenna
3 : 1
Campobasso
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
Page 1 of 6

Perugia

(Away)
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Ravenna 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
3 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
4 Sassari Torres 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
5 Livorno 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
6 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
7 Guidonia 1937 9 3 4 2 11:8 13
8 Perugia 9 4 1 4 9:14 13
9 Campobasso 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Pescara 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
11 Forli FC 9 2 5 2 14:13 11
12 Vado 9 3 2 4 8:8 11
13 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
14 Atalanta U23 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
15 Latina 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
16 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
17 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
18 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
19 Sambenedettese 9 1 3 5 12:15 6
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)