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Campobasso vs Pineto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Campobasso Logo

Campobasso

1 - 1
FT
Pineto Logo

Pineto

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ienco S.
38' Event
D'Andrea F.
45'
Germinario G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Campobasso
20%
Draws
29%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Pineto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Campobasso's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Campobasso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pineto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 20%
Pineto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Pineto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Campobasso vs Pineto
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Campobasso
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Pineto
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Pineto
1:3
Oct 21, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Campobasso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Salines E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Andrea F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 36 / 100
Pineto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campobasso's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pineto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Campobasso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Pineto
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Cavese
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1
Pineto
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2
Gubbio
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4