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Campobasso vs Pineto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso
Campobasso Logo

Campobasso

1 - 1
FT
Pineto Logo

Pineto

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ienco S.
38' Event
D'Andrea F.
45'
Germinario G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Campobasso
35%
Draws
25%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Pineto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Campobasso's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Campobasso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pineto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 68%
Pineto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campobasso Pineto
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Pineto
2:2
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Campobasso vs Pineto
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Campobasso
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Pineto
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Pineto
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Salines E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Andrea F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campobasso 68 / 100
Pineto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campobasso Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pineto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Campobasso's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Campobasso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campobasso VS Pineto
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Campobasso

(Home)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
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Pineto

(Away)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4