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Campodarsego vs Castegnato Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mboup A.
Own Goal
15' Event
Oneto L.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Cocola N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Campodarsego and Castegnato finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castegnato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Campodarsego
15%
Draws
8%
Castegnato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campodarsego

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Campodarsego carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Campodarsego's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Campodarsego Clean Sheet 20%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campodarsego Castegnato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Castegnato
2:3
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Campodarsego
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campodarsego Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocola N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Castegnato Compare

Top Goalscorer Costanzo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campodarsego 85 / 100
Castegnato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campodarsego Castegnato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campodarsego Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castegnato let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Campodarsego found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Campodarsego remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campodarsego VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Campodarsego

(Home)
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
1 : 2
Campodarsego
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
Page 1 of 6

Castegnato

(Away)
12 May
Luparense FC
2 : 0
Castegnato
05 May
Adriese
5 : 2
Castegnato
28 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 2
Treviso
21 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 4
Montecchio Maggiore
14 Apr
Chions
2 : 2
Castegnato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)