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Campos AA vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sassa
43' Event
Sassa

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense in this Carioca C 2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Campos AA
35%
Draws
40%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niteroiense lately — more wins on the board than Campos AA.
  • Model gives Niteroiense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Niteroiense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Niteroiense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Niteroiense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 20%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos AA Niteroiense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Campos AA
1:1
Jul 15, 2024 Carioca C
Campos AA vs Niteroiense
0:2
May 19, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Campos AA
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campos AA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassa
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos AA 20 / 100
Niteroiense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos AA Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campos AA's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Campos AA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Campos AA VS Niteroiense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos AA

(Home)
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
19 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
4 : 1
Campos AA
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
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Niteroiense

(Away)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Campos AA 1
Niteroiense 3
Uni Souza 2
EC Vera Cruz 1
Final
Niteroiense 3
Uni Souza 2